Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus above 96 percent, due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, and his own 27-point victory in the 2020 contest against the same Democratic opponent. Hagerty faced no primary opposition on August 6, while Marquita Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 55 percent, setting up a rematch amid limited general-election polling that shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points. Strong fundraising and broad Republican institutional support further reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan and incumbency advantages in this solidly Republican state.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$29,907 交易量
$29,907 交易量
2026-11-02
比爾·哈格蒂（共和黨）
96%
馬奎塔·布拉德肖（民主黨）
4%
$29,907 交易量
$29,907 交易量
2026-11-02
比爾·哈格蒂（共和黨）
$19,518 交易量
96%
馬奎塔·布拉德肖（民主黨）
$10,390 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus above 96 percent, due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, and his own 27-point victory in the 2020 contest against the same Democratic opponent. Hagerty faced no primary opposition on August 6, while Marquita Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 55 percent, setting up a rematch amid limited general-election polling that shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points. Strong fundraising and broad Republican institutional support further reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan and incumbency advantages in this solidly Republican state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$29,907結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus above 96 percent, due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, and his own 27-point victory in the 2020 contest against the same Democratic opponent. Hagerty faced no primary opposition on August 6, while Marquita Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 55 percent, setting up a rematch amid limited general-election polling that shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points. Strong fundraising and broad Republican institutional support further reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan and incumbency advantages in this solidly Republican state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$29,907結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETIncumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in trader consensus above 96 percent, due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, including a nearly 30-point Trump margin in 2024, and his own 27-point victory in the 2020 contest against the same Democratic opponent. Hagerty faced no primary opposition on August 6, while Marquita Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 55 percent, setting up a rematch amid limited general-election polling that shows Hagerty ahead by roughly 20 points. Strong fundraising and broad Republican institutional support further reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan and incumbency advantages in this solidly Republican state.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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