Kentucky's deep Republican lean and long history of Democratic Senate defeats since 1992 underpin trader consensus favoring Andy Barr at over 96 percent. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with strong support from President Trump, defeating Daniel Cameron in a crowded field for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. Charles Booker, the Democratic nominee and a prior statewide loser, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans hold consistent advantages in turnout and voter registration. Recent polls show Barr ahead by double digits, though a single debate is scheduled for October. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,325 交易量
$34,325 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·巴爾（共和黨）
96%
查爾斯·布克（民主黨）
3%
$34,325 交易量
$34,325 交易量
2026-11-02
安迪·巴爾（共和黨）
$26,915 交易量
96%
查爾斯·布克（民主黨）
$7,409 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's deep Republican lean and long history of Democratic Senate defeats since 1992 underpin trader consensus favoring Andy Barr at over 96 percent. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with strong support from President Trump, defeating Daniel Cameron in a crowded field for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. Charles Booker, the Democratic nominee and a prior statewide loser, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans hold consistent advantages in turnout and voter registration. Recent polls show Barr ahead by double digits, though a single debate is scheduled for October. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$34,325結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's deep Republican lean and long history of Democratic Senate defeats since 1992 underpin trader consensus favoring Andy Barr at over 96 percent. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with strong support from President Trump, defeating Daniel Cameron in a crowded field for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. Charles Booker, the Democratic nominee and a prior statewide loser, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans hold consistent advantages in turnout and voter registration. Recent polls show Barr ahead by double digits, though a single debate is scheduled for October. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$34,325結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETKentucky's deep Republican lean and long history of Democratic Senate defeats since 1992 underpin trader consensus favoring Andy Barr at over 96 percent. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with strong support from President Trump, defeating Daniel Cameron in a crowded field for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. Charles Booker, the Democratic nominee and a prior statewide loser, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans hold consistent advantages in turnout and voter registration. Recent polls show Barr ahead by double digits, though a single debate is scheduled for October. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment or unexpected turnout changes remain the primary factors that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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