Kentucky's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points for GOP nominees. Incumbent Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include candidate withdrawal, health-related developments, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,529 交易量
$34,529 交易量
2026-11-02
哈爾·羅傑斯（共和黨）
95%
奈德·皮勒斯多夫（民主黨）
5%
$34,529 交易量
$34,529 交易量
2026-11-02
哈爾·羅傑斯（共和黨）
$19,432 交易量
95%
奈德·皮勒斯多夫（民主黨）
$15,097 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points for GOP nominees. Incumbent Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include candidate withdrawal, health-related developments, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$34,529結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points for GOP nominees. Incumbent Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include candidate withdrawal, health-related developments, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,529結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETKentucky's 5th congressional district carries a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 70 points for GOP nominees. Incumbent Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 95 percent Republican aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include candidate withdrawal, health-related developments, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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