Hal Rogers holds a commanding position in Kentucky’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP nominees in recent cycles. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome near 95 percent. The November 3 general election features additional independent candidates, yet structural factors and Rogers’ long tenure limit Democratic prospects. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could still alter the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,589 交易量
$34,589 交易量
2026-11-02
哈爾·羅傑斯（共和黨）
95%
奈德·皮勒斯多夫（民主黨）
5%
$34,589 交易量
$34,589 交易量
2026-11-02
哈爾·羅傑斯（共和黨）
$19,432 交易量
95%
奈德·皮勒斯多夫（民主黨）
$15,157 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hal Rogers holds a commanding position in Kentucky’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP nominees in recent cycles. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome near 95 percent. The November 3 general election features additional independent candidates, yet structural factors and Rogers’ long tenure limit Democratic prospects. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could still alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$34,589結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hal Rogers holds a commanding position in Kentucky’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP nominees in recent cycles. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome near 95 percent. The November 3 general election features additional independent candidates, yet structural factors and Rogers’ long tenure limit Democratic prospects. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could still alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,589結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETHal Rogers holds a commanding position in Kentucky’s 5th Congressional District race due to the area’s entrenched Republican tilt, reflected in its R+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP nominees in recent cycles. The incumbent secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with 77 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Ned Pillersdorf advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that places the Republican outcome near 95 percent. The November 3 general election features additional independent candidates, yet structural factors and Rogers’ long tenure limit Democratic prospects. Late developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or sharp turnout shifts could still alter the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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