Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid or Safe R by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. His substantial fundraising advantage—over $4.7 million raised versus her under $8,000—underscores limited opposition resources. The west-central Kentucky district, including areas like Bowling Green and Owensboro, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,768 交易量
$13,768 交易量
2026-11-02
布雷特·格思里（共和黨）
95%
梅根·溫菲爾德（民主黨）
5%
$13,768 交易量
$13,768 交易量
2026-11-02
布雷特·格思里（共和黨）
$6,297 交易量
95%
梅根·溫菲爾德（民主黨）
$7,471 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid or Safe R by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. His substantial fundraising advantage—over $4.7 million raised versus her under $8,000—underscores limited opposition resources. The west-central Kentucky district, including areas like Bowling Green and Owensboro, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$13,768結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid or Safe R by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. His substantial fundraising advantage—over $4.7 million raised versus her under $8,000—underscores limited opposition resources. The west-central Kentucky district, including areas like Bowling Green and Owensboro, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,768結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETBrett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race stems from the district's strong Republican lean, rated Solid or Safe R by Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. As the long-serving incumbent, Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced with a plurality. His substantial fundraising advantage—over $4.7 million raised versus her under $8,000—underscores limited opposition resources. The west-central Kentucky district, including areas like Bowling Green and Owensboro, has consistently favored Republicans in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unexpected scandals could still influence the November 3 general election outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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