Ed Gallrein holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky 4th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican partisan advantage, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gallrein secured the nomination in May 2026 by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie in a high-spending primary backed by President Trump, consolidating party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Melissa Strange won her primary but faces a steep fundraising gap and limited name recognition in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Minor-party candidates on the ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make significant shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$37,603 交易量
$37,603 交易量
2026-11-02
Ed Gallrein（共和黨）
94%
梅麗莎·斯特蘭奇（民主黨）
6%
$37,603 交易量
$37,603 交易量
2026-11-02
Ed Gallrein（共和黨）
$25,306 交易量
94%
梅麗莎·斯特蘭奇（民主黨）
$12,297 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ed Gallrein holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky 4th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican partisan advantage, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gallrein secured the nomination in May 2026 by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie in a high-spending primary backed by President Trump, consolidating party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Melissa Strange won her primary but faces a steep fundraising gap and limited name recognition in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Minor-party candidates on the ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make significant shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$37,603結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ed Gallrein holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky 4th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican partisan advantage, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gallrein secured the nomination in May 2026 by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie in a high-spending primary backed by President Trump, consolidating party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Melissa Strange won her primary but faces a steep fundraising gap and limited name recognition in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Minor-party candidates on the ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make significant shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,603結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETEd Gallrein holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky 4th congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican partisan advantage, demonstrated by double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles and its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Gallrein secured the nomination in May 2026 by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie in a high-spending primary backed by President Trump, consolidating party support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Melissa Strange won her primary but faces a steep fundraising gap and limited name recognition in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Minor-party candidates on the ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current fundamentals make significant shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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