Delia Ramirez maintains a dominant position in the IL-03 House election market, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Primary drivers include partisan registration advantages, historical margins in presidential and congressional contests, and limited competitive infrastructure for Republican challengers such as Angel Oakley. Trader consensus embeds these structural factors with few recent catalysts shifting probabilities ahead of November. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking national political shifts, substantial changes in turnout among key voting blocs, major campaign finance developments, or candidate-specific events that alter visibility in the final stretch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$51,312 交易量
$51,312 交易量
2026-11-02
德莉亞·拉米雷斯（民主黨）
97%
Angel Oakley（共和黨）
2%
$51,312 交易量
$51,312 交易量
2026-11-02
德莉亞·拉米雷斯（民主黨）
$27,041 交易量
97%
Angel Oakley（共和黨）
$24,271 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delia Ramirez maintains a dominant position in the IL-03 House election market, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Primary drivers include partisan registration advantages, historical margins in presidential and congressional contests, and limited competitive infrastructure for Republican challengers such as Angel Oakley. Trader consensus embeds these structural factors with few recent catalysts shifting probabilities ahead of November. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking national political shifts, substantial changes in turnout among key voting blocs, major campaign finance developments, or candidate-specific events that alter visibility in the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$51,312結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delia Ramirez maintains a dominant position in the IL-03 House election market, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Primary drivers include partisan registration advantages, historical margins in presidential and congressional contests, and limited competitive infrastructure for Republican challengers such as Angel Oakley. Trader consensus embeds these structural factors with few recent catalysts shifting probabilities ahead of November. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking national political shifts, substantial changes in turnout among key voting blocs, major campaign finance developments, or candidate-specific events that alter visibility in the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$51,312結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETDelia Ramirez maintains a dominant position in the IL-03 House election market, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean, her status as incumbent, and consistent voter patterns favoring the party in recent cycles. Primary drivers include partisan registration advantages, historical margins in presidential and congressional contests, and limited competitive infrastructure for Republican challengers such as Angel Oakley. Trader consensus embeds these structural factors with few recent catalysts shifting probabilities ahead of November. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking national political shifts, substantial changes in turnout among key voting blocs, major campaign finance developments, or candidate-specific events that alter visibility in the final stretch.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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