**Incumbent Lauren Underwood’s strong position in Illinois’s 14th Congressional District drives the market’s 94.9% consensus for her victory over Republican nominee James Marter.** Underwood has held the western Chicago exurban seat since 2018, winning re-election in 2024 by 10 points against the same opponent, and benefits from a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Her campaign has raised over $2 million with more than $1 million cash on hand as of mid-2026, dwarfing Marter’s roughly $30,000 on hand following his March primary win. The district’s recent voting patterns and Underwood’s unopposed Democratic primary further reinforce trader expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,880 交易量
$16,880 交易量
2026-11-02
羅琳·安德伍德（民主黨）
95%
詹姆斯·馬特（共和黨）
5%
$16,880 交易量
$16,880 交易量
2026-11-02
羅琳·安德伍德（民主黨）
$5,376 交易量
95%
詹姆斯·馬特（共和黨）
$11,503 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Lauren Underwood’s strong position in Illinois’s 14th Congressional District drives the market’s 94.9% consensus for her victory over Republican nominee James Marter.**
Underwood has held the western Chicago exurban seat since 2018, winning re-election in 2024 by 10 points against the same opponent, and benefits from a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Her campaign has raised over $2 million with more than $1 million cash on hand as of mid-2026, dwarfing Marter’s roughly $30,000 on hand following his March primary win. The district’s recent voting patterns and Underwood’s unopposed Democratic primary further reinforce trader expectations.
Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$16,880結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Lauren Underwood’s strong position in Illinois’s 14th Congressional District drives the market’s 94.9% consensus for her victory over Republican nominee James Marter.**
Underwood has held the western Chicago exurban seat since 2018, winning re-election in 2024 by 10 points against the same opponent, and benefits from a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Her campaign has raised over $2 million with more than $1 million cash on hand as of mid-2026, dwarfing Marter’s roughly $30,000 on hand following his March primary win. The district’s recent voting patterns and Underwood’s unopposed Democratic primary further reinforce trader expectations.
Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,880結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET**Incumbent Lauren Underwood’s strong position in Illinois’s 14th Congressional District drives the market’s 94.9% consensus for her victory over Republican nominee James Marter.** Underwood has held the western Chicago exurban seat since 2018, winning re-election in 2024 by 10 points against the same opponent, and benefits from a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Her campaign has raised over $2 million with more than $1 million cash on hand as of mid-2026, dwarfing Marter’s roughly $30,000 on hand following his March primary win. The district’s recent voting patterns and Underwood’s unopposed Democratic primary further reinforce trader expectations. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national Republican wave, a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high GOP turnout in the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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