Delaware’s at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, reflected in the 94.5 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 by double digits in a state that has favored Democratic presidential candidates by wide margins, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. The Republican primary on September 15 features multiple candidates but no statewide profile capable of narrowing the structural gap. With primaries imminent and the general election less than two months away, limited time remains for events such as a sharp national swing or unforeseen development to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,260 交易量
$43,260 交易量
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$43,260 交易量
$43,260 交易量
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Delaware’s at-large congressional district has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, reflected in the 94.5 percent trader consensus for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 by double digits in a state that has favored Democratic presidential candidates by wide margins, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. The Republican primary on September 15 features multiple candidates but no statewide profile capable of narrowing the structural gap. With primaries imminent and the general election less than two months away, limited time remains for events such as a sharp national swing or unforeseen development to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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