Louisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$69,262 交易量
$69,262 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
93%
民主黨
7%
$69,262 交易量
$69,262 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$39,134 交易量
93%
民主黨
$30,128 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$69,262結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$69,262結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETLouisiana's 6th Congressional District shifted to a solidly Republican seat after the state legislature redrew boundaries in response to the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, removing its prior majority-Black configuration and anchoring the new district around Baton Rouge with voter registration and 2024 presidential voting patterns that strongly favor Republicans. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to run under the revised lines, leaving an open contest where Republican state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded jungle primary field set for November 3, with a possible December runoff. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift if Republican vote fragmentation allows a Democrat to advance or if unexpected legal or turnout developments alter the November results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions