Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its voter composition and consistent electoral history, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5 percent. Incumbency advantages, primary outcomes, and limited Republican recruitment in this safely blue seat have further reinforced positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Historical patterns show the district delivering wide margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, aligning with the implied probability reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the leading candidate, a substantial national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout dynamics that exceed typical baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,762 交易量
$45,762 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$45,762 交易量
$45,762 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$20,975 交易量
96%
Republican Party
$24,788 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its voter composition and consistent electoral history, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5 percent. Incumbency advantages, primary outcomes, and limited Republican recruitment in this safely blue seat have further reinforced positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Historical patterns show the district delivering wide margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, aligning with the implied probability reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the leading candidate, a substantial national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout dynamics that exceed typical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$45,762結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its voter composition and consistent electoral history, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5 percent. Incumbency advantages, primary outcomes, and limited Republican recruitment in this safely blue seat have further reinforced positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Historical patterns show the district delivering wide margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, aligning with the implied probability reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the leading candidate, a substantial national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout dynamics that exceed typical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,762結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMaryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its voter composition and consistent electoral history, which underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5 percent. Incumbency advantages, primary outcomes, and limited Republican recruitment in this safely blue seat have further reinforced positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Historical patterns show the district delivering wide margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, aligning with the implied probability reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include an unforeseen scandal affecting the leading candidate, a substantial national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout dynamics that exceed typical baselines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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