Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces Democratic nominee James Martin in Florida's 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat's solid Republican lean, reflected in Mast's 2024 margin and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Mast ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Martin narrowly prevailed in a close Democratic contest. Fundraising and structural advantages for the incumbent further support current pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the candidate, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,472 交易量
$14,472 交易量
共和黨
93%
民主黨
7%
$14,472 交易量
$14,472 交易量
共和黨
93%
民主黨
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces Democratic nominee James Martin in Florida's 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat's solid Republican lean, reflected in Mast's 2024 margin and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying it as safe or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Mast ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Martin narrowly prevailed in a close Democratic contest. Fundraising and structural advantages for the incumbent further support current pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the candidate, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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