Elaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. The district’s competitive profile, reflected in its even or slight Democratic lean on partisan voting indices, has drawn significant attention and fundraising from both sides ahead of the November 3 general election. A July poll showed the candidates initially tied before Luria edged ahead after voters reviewed biographies, consistent with broader midterm dynamics that have influenced trader assessments. Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side, but the market’s heavy weighting toward Democrats aligns with recent ratings classifying the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic flip. Upcoming campaign events and any late polling shifts remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$41,851 交易量
$41,851 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
82%
共和黨
18%
$41,851 交易量
$41,851 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$18,659 交易量
82%
共和黨
$23,192 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Elaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. The district’s competitive profile, reflected in its even or slight Democratic lean on partisan voting indices, has drawn significant attention and fundraising from both sides ahead of the November 3 general election. A July poll showed the candidates initially tied before Luria edged ahead after voters reviewed biographies, consistent with broader midterm dynamics that have influenced trader assessments. Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side, but the market’s heavy weighting toward Democrats aligns with recent ratings classifying the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic flip. Upcoming campaign events and any late polling shifts remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$41,851結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Elaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. The district’s competitive profile, reflected in its even or slight Democratic lean on partisan voting indices, has drawn significant attention and fundraising from both sides ahead of the November 3 general election. A July poll showed the candidates initially tied before Luria edged ahead after voters reviewed biographies, consistent with broader midterm dynamics that have influenced trader assessments. Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side, but the market’s heavy weighting toward Democrats aligns with recent ratings classifying the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic flip. Upcoming campaign events and any late polling shifts remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,851結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETElaine Luria secured the Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District primary on August 4 with roughly 80 percent of the vote, setting up a rematch against incumbent Republican Jen Kiggans. The district’s competitive profile, reflected in its even or slight Democratic lean on partisan voting indices, has drawn significant attention and fundraising from both sides ahead of the November 3 general election. A July poll showed the candidates initially tied before Luria edged ahead after voters reviewed biographies, consistent with broader midterm dynamics that have influenced trader assessments. Kiggans advanced unopposed on the Republican side, but the market’s heavy weighting toward Democrats aligns with recent ratings classifying the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic flip. Upcoming campaign events and any late polling shifts remain key variables that could adjust implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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