Recent polling and campaign activity have strengthened Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s position in the Virginia 2nd District rematch against incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans. Luria, a former representative and Navy veteran, secured her party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary and has raised more than $5 million while releasing ads tying Kiggans to national Republican policies on costs and health care. External groups including GIFFORDS PAC have launched substantial ad buys against the incumbent. Early voting begins September 18, and some forecasters now rate the race as leaning Democratic. These factors, combined with the district’s history of narrow partisan swings, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,288 交易量
$42,288 交易量
2026-11-03
伊萊恩·盧里亞（民主黨）
82%
金·奇根斯（共和黨）
19%
$42,288 交易量
$42,288 交易量
2026-11-03
伊萊恩·盧里亞（民主黨）
$18,659 交易量
82%
金·奇根斯（共和黨）
$23,629 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and campaign activity have strengthened Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s position in the Virginia 2nd District rematch against incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans. Luria, a former representative and Navy veteran, secured her party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary and has raised more than $5 million while releasing ads tying Kiggans to national Republican policies on costs and health care. External groups including GIFFORDS PAC have launched substantial ad buys against the incumbent. Early voting begins September 18, and some forecasters now rate the race as leaning Democratic. These factors, combined with the district’s history of narrow partisan swings, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$42,288結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling and campaign activity have strengthened Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s position in the Virginia 2nd District rematch against incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans. Luria, a former representative and Navy veteran, secured her party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary and has raised more than $5 million while releasing ads tying Kiggans to national Republican policies on costs and health care. External groups including GIFFORDS PAC have launched substantial ad buys against the incumbent. Early voting begins September 18, and some forecasters now rate the race as leaning Democratic. These factors, combined with the district’s history of narrow partisan swings, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,288結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRecent polling and campaign activity have strengthened Democratic nominee Elaine Luria’s position in the Virginia 2nd District rematch against incumbent Republican Rep. Jen Kiggans. Luria, a former representative and Navy veteran, secured her party’s nomination with over 80 percent in the August primary and has raised more than $5 million while releasing ads tying Kiggans to national Republican policies on costs and health care. External groups including GIFFORDS PAC have launched substantial ad buys against the incumbent. Early voting begins September 18, and some forecasters now rate the race as leaning Democratic. These factors, combined with the district’s history of narrow partisan swings, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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