Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,422 交易量
$27,422 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
4%
$27,422 交易量
$27,422 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$18,895 交易量
95%
共和黨
$8,528 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,422結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,422結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMaryland’s 8th congressional district maintains one of the strongest Democratic leans in the House, reflected in its D+29 to D+30 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination with more than 92 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected shifts in turnout among core voting blocs remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions