Maryland’s 7th congressional district features a D+31 partisan lean and encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore, producing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in June 2026 with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote against a local challenger, preserving continuity and fundraising strength ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier, a perennial candidate, faces the same structural headwinds that limited prior GOP performance in the seat to under 20 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory, the combination of district composition, incumbency advantages, and limited opposition sustains the dominant trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,398 交易量
$24,398 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
97%
共和黨
2%
$24,398 交易量
$24,398 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$15,273 交易量
97%
共和黨
$9,125 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district features a D+31 partisan lean and encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore, producing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in June 2026 with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote against a local challenger, preserving continuity and fundraising strength ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier, a perennial candidate, faces the same structural headwinds that limited prior GOP performance in the seat to under 20 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory, the combination of district composition, incumbency advantages, and limited opposition sustains the dominant trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$24,398結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district features a D+31 partisan lean and encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore, producing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in June 2026 with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote against a local challenger, preserving continuity and fundraising strength ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier, a perennial candidate, faces the same structural headwinds that limited prior GOP performance in the seat to under 20 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory, the combination of district composition, incumbency advantages, and limited opposition sustains the dominant trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,398結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMaryland’s 7th congressional district features a D+31 partisan lean and encompasses heavily Democratic areas of Baltimore, producing consistent double-digit margins for Democratic nominees. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured the party nomination in June 2026 with roughly 75 percent of the primary vote against a local challenger, preserving continuity and fundraising strength ahead of the November general election. Republican nominee Scott Collier, a perennial candidate, faces the same structural headwinds that limited prior GOP performance in the seat to under 20 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. While an unforeseen scandal, health development, or national wave could theoretically alter the trajectory, the combination of district composition, incumbency advantages, and limited opposition sustains the dominant trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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