Florida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$29,890 交易量
$29,890 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$29,890 交易量
$29,890 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$11,666 交易量
94%
Democratic Party
$18,224 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$29,890結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,890結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETFlorida's 3rd congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack, who won re-election with 61.6% in 2024, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary while Democratic nominee Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate field. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, Cammack's fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million, and limited crossover appeal in a North Central Florida constituency that includes Gainesville and Ocala. An independent candidate, Mike Klein, has filed but shows minimal traction. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen controversy could narrow the gap, yet the structural and historical factors underpinning the current trader consensus remain firmly in place ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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