Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,793 交易量
$15,793 交易量
2026-11-02
奧斯汀·羅傑斯（共和黨）
91%
阿曼達·格林（民主黨）
9%
$15,793 交易量
$15,793 交易量
2026-11-02
奧斯汀·羅傑斯（共和黨）
$9,846 交易量
91%
阿曼達·格林（民主黨）
$5,947 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$15,793結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,793結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETAustin Rogers holds a commanding lead in the FL-02 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by the prior incumbent’s 23-point margin in 2024 and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. The August 2026 primaries produced an open-seat contest after Neal Dunn’s retirement, with Rogers securing the GOP nomination in a crowded field and Green emerging as the Democratic nominee. Rogers benefits from prior roles as general counsel to Senator Rick Scott and established fundraising, while Green, a first-time candidate, has reported over $500,000 raised but faces structural barriers in this North Florida panhandle district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals or unusual turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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