Florida's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the August 18 primaries produced Republican nominee Austin Rogers and Democratic nominee Amanda Green for the November 3 general election. The district's voting history, combined with limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum in a redrawn map favoring Republicans, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,753 交易量
$15,753 交易量
共和黨
90%
民主黨
9%
$15,753 交易量
$15,753 交易量
共和黨
90%
民主黨
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Florida's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 partisan voting index and consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the August 18 primaries produced Republican nominee Austin Rogers and Democratic nominee Amanda Green for the November 3 general election. The district's voting history, combined with limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum in a redrawn map favoring Republicans, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. No major late developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions