Redistricting after the Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republican-leaning lines, positioning state Rep. Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures ahead of the November 3 general election. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while highlighting tax and regulatory relief. A Democratic internal poll released in early September showed the candidates tied, prompting Sabato’s Crystal Ball to move its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Figures benefits from incumbency and potential turnout advantages in certain areas, though the district’s adjusted boundaries and national Republican focus on the seat continue to underpin trader consensus favoring Marques.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,252 交易量
$43,252 交易量
2026-11-02
雷特·馬奎斯（共和黨）
68%
Shomari Figures（民主黨）
32%
$43,252 交易量
$43,252 交易量
2026-11-02
雷特·馬奎斯（共和黨）
$20,635 交易量
68%
Shomari Figures（民主黨）
$22,618 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republican-leaning lines, positioning state Rep. Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures ahead of the November 3 general election. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while highlighting tax and regulatory relief. A Democratic internal poll released in early September showed the candidates tied, prompting Sabato’s Crystal Ball to move its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Figures benefits from incumbency and potential turnout advantages in certain areas, though the district’s adjusted boundaries and national Republican focus on the seat continue to underpin trader consensus favoring Marques.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$43,252結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republican-leaning lines, positioning state Rep. Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures ahead of the November 3 general election. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while highlighting tax and regulatory relief. A Democratic internal poll released in early September showed the candidates tied, prompting Sabato’s Crystal Ball to move its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Figures benefits from incumbency and potential turnout advantages in certain areas, though the district’s adjusted boundaries and national Republican focus on the seat continue to underpin trader consensus favoring Marques.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,252結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRedistricting after the Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republican-leaning lines, positioning state Rep. Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures ahead of the November 3 general election. Marques secured the GOP nomination in the August special primary and recently earned the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement while highlighting tax and regulatory relief. A Democratic internal poll released in early September showed the candidates tied, prompting Sabato’s Crystal Ball to move its rating from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Figures benefits from incumbency and potential turnout advantages in certain areas, though the district’s adjusted boundaries and national Republican focus on the seat continue to underpin trader consensus favoring Marques.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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