Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$47,769 交易量
$47,769 交易量
2026-11-02
傑瑞·卡爾（共和黨）
95%
Clyde Jones Jr.（民主黨）
2%
$47,769 交易量
$47,769 交易量
2026-11-02
傑瑞·卡爾（共和黨）
$21,382 交易量
95%
Clyde Jones Jr.（民主黨）
$26,386 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
交易量
$47,769結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,769結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETJerry Carl secured the Republican nomination in Alabama's 1st Congressional District through a decisive August 2026 special primary victory, backed by prior congressional experience and endorsements that consolidated support in a field of multiple GOP contenders. The district's established partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent implied probability. Clyde Jones advanced unopposed as the Democratic nominee but confronts structural barriers including voter registration patterns and historical turnout gaps. Factors that could narrow the margin include a late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national midterm shift, or unusually elevated Democratic participation in the Mobile and Baldwin County areas ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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