Redistricting in May 2026 reshaped Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District, splitting Memphis and adding rural Republican-leaning areas to create a seat that favored GOP candidates by roughly 21 points based on the prior presidential vote. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire and positioned state Sen. Brent Taylor, who secured President Trump’s endorsement, to win the Republican primary. State Rep. Justin Pearson prevailed in the Democratic primary but now contests a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and limited time for Pearson to overcome the new boundaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$45,552 交易量
$45,552 交易量
2026-11-02
布蘭特·泰勒（共和黨）
89%
賈斯汀·皮爾森（民主黨）
10%
$45,552 交易量
$45,552 交易量
2026-11-02
布蘭特·泰勒（共和黨）
$25,161 交易量
89%
賈斯汀·皮爾森（民主黨）
$20,390 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in May 2026 reshaped Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District, splitting Memphis and adding rural Republican-leaning areas to create a seat that favored GOP candidates by roughly 21 points based on the prior presidential vote. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire and positioned state Sen. Brent Taylor, who secured President Trump’s endorsement, to win the Republican primary. State Rep. Justin Pearson prevailed in the Democratic primary but now contests a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and limited time for Pearson to overcome the new boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$45,552結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in May 2026 reshaped Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District, splitting Memphis and adding rural Republican-leaning areas to create a seat that favored GOP candidates by roughly 21 points based on the prior presidential vote. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire and positioned state Sen. Brent Taylor, who secured President Trump’s endorsement, to win the Republican primary. State Rep. Justin Pearson prevailed in the Democratic primary but now contests a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and limited time for Pearson to overcome the new boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,552結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRedistricting in May 2026 reshaped Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District, splitting Memphis and adding rural Republican-leaning areas to create a seat that favored GOP candidates by roughly 21 points based on the prior presidential vote. This shift prompted longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen to retire and positioned state Sen. Brent Taylor, who secured President Trump’s endorsement, to win the Republican primary. State Rep. Justin Pearson prevailed in the Democratic primary but now contests a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage and limited time for Pearson to overcome the new boundaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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