The strong Democratic lean of Ohio’s 11th congressional district, anchored in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 reelection and presidential voting patterns that favored the Democratic ticket by roughly three-to-one. With primaries concluded, Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin while Mike Kirchner emerged as the Republican standard-bearer; neither contest produced notable surprises or shifts in positioning. The absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset, combined with the district’s structural advantages for Democrats, reinforces the lopsided implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though such scenarios remain remote given established voting patterns and the limited time remaining in the cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,999 交易量
$21,999 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$21,999 交易量
$21,999 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$11,763 交易量
95%
共和黨
$10,236 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Ohio’s 11th congressional district, anchored in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 reelection and presidential voting patterns that favored the Democratic ticket by roughly three-to-one. With primaries concluded, Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin while Mike Kirchner emerged as the Republican standard-bearer; neither contest produced notable surprises or shifts in positioning. The absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset, combined with the district’s structural advantages for Democrats, reinforces the lopsided implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though such scenarios remain remote given established voting patterns and the limited time remaining in the cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$21,999結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Ohio’s 11th congressional district, anchored in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 reelection and presidential voting patterns that favored the Democratic ticket by roughly three-to-one. With primaries concluded, Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin while Mike Kirchner emerged as the Republican standard-bearer; neither contest produced notable surprises or shifts in positioning. The absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset, combined with the district’s structural advantages for Democrats, reinforces the lopsided implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though such scenarios remain remote given established voting patterns and the limited time remaining in the cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,999結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Ohio’s 11th congressional district, anchored in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County suburbs, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 reelection and presidential voting patterns that favored the Democratic ticket by roughly three-to-one. With primaries concluded, Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin while Mike Kirchner emerged as the Republican standard-bearer; neither contest produced notable surprises or shifts in positioning. The absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset, combined with the district’s structural advantages for Democrats, reinforces the lopsided implied probability. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap before November, though such scenarios remain remote given established voting patterns and the limited time remaining in the cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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