Shontel Brown holds a commanding position in the OH-11 general election on November 3, 2026, driven by the district’s strong Democratic lean (D+28 Partisan Voter Index) centered on Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, combined with her incumbency and primary performance. Brown secured 85.5% in the May Democratic primary against limited opposition, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan raters classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and structural barriers for Republican challengers. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, pricing Brown near 98%. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Brown, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,426 交易量
$38,426 交易量
尚特爾·布朗(民主黨)
98%
邁克·柯奇納 (共和黨)
1%
$38,426 交易量
$38,426 交易量
尚特爾·布朗(民主黨)
98%
邁克·柯奇納 (共和黨)
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Shontel Brown holds a commanding position in the OH-11 general election on November 3, 2026, driven by the district’s strong Democratic lean (D+28 Partisan Voter Index) centered on Cleveland and Cuyahoga County, combined with her incumbency and primary performance. Brown secured 85.5% in the May Democratic primary against limited opposition, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan raters classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and structural barriers for Republican challengers. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, pricing Brown near 98%. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Brown, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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