**Mike Turner benefits from incumbency in a Republican-leaning district (R+4 PVI) and a strong fundraising edge, while facing Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Turner won re-election in 2024 by 18 points and ran unopposed in the May Republican primary. The district’s new map, effective for 2026, swapped in more Republican Butler County. Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner, won a six-candidate Democratic primary with roughly one-third of the vote. July internal polling showed Turner ahead 45-40 percent, consistent with the seat’s structural tilt and historical incumbent performance. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot but draws limited support. Traders price the race accordingly, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Turner’s consistent overperformance relative to the top of the ticket.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,920 交易量
$38,920 交易量
2026-11-02
邁克·特納（共和黨）
84%
Kristina Knickerbocker（民主黨）
17%
$38,920 交易量
$38,920 交易量
2026-11-02
邁克·特納（共和黨）
$18,567 交易量
84%
Kristina Knickerbocker（民主黨）
$20,353 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Mike Turner benefits from incumbency in a Republican-leaning district (R+4 PVI) and a strong fundraising edge, while facing Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in the November 3, 2026 general election.**
Turner won re-election in 2024 by 18 points and ran unopposed in the May Republican primary. The district’s new map, effective for 2026, swapped in more Republican Butler County. Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner, won a six-candidate Democratic primary with roughly one-third of the vote. July internal polling showed Turner ahead 45-40 percent, consistent with the seat’s structural tilt and historical incumbent performance. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot but draws limited support. Traders price the race accordingly, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Turner’s consistent overperformance relative to the top of the ticket.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$38,920結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Mike Turner benefits from incumbency in a Republican-leaning district (R+4 PVI) and a strong fundraising edge, while facing Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in the November 3, 2026 general election.**
Turner won re-election in 2024 by 18 points and ran unopposed in the May Republican primary. The district’s new map, effective for 2026, swapped in more Republican Butler County. Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner, won a six-candidate Democratic primary with roughly one-third of the vote. July internal polling showed Turner ahead 45-40 percent, consistent with the seat’s structural tilt and historical incumbent performance. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot but draws limited support. Traders price the race accordingly, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Turner’s consistent overperformance relative to the top of the ticket.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,920結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET**Mike Turner benefits from incumbency in a Republican-leaning district (R+4 PVI) and a strong fundraising edge, while facing Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Turner won re-election in 2024 by 18 points and ran unopposed in the May Republican primary. The district’s new map, effective for 2026, swapped in more Republican Butler County. Knickerbocker, an Air Force veteran and nurse practitioner, won a six-candidate Democratic primary with roughly one-third of the vote. July internal polling showed Turner ahead 45-40 percent, consistent with the seat’s structural tilt and historical incumbent performance. A Libertarian candidate is also on the ballot but draws limited support. Traders price the race accordingly, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Turner’s consistent overperformance relative to the top of the ticket.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions