Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in the Ohio 9th District race due to her decades-long incumbency, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly $4.3 million raised versus $1.5 million for challenger Derek Merrin, and established name recognition across the district. Redistricting adopted in late 2025 shifted boundaries to add more rural and Republican-leaning counties, producing a simulated 2024 presidential result of Trump 54.8% to Harris 44.2% and prompting varied forecaster ratings from toss-up to tilt Republican. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and later received an endorsement from President Trump. Kaptur, who narrowly defeated Merrin in 2024 on prior lines, returned to congressional duties in mid-September following an August hit-and-run accident, allowing her campaign to emphasize local economic issues ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,988 交易量
$32,988 交易量
2026-11-03
馬西·卡普特（民主黨）
74%
Derek Merrin（共和黨）
25%
$32,988 交易量
$32,988 交易量
2026-11-03
馬西·卡普特（民主黨）
$6,584 交易量
74%
Derek Merrin（共和黨）
$26,404 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in the Ohio 9th District race due to her decades-long incumbency, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly $4.3 million raised versus $1.5 million for challenger Derek Merrin, and established name recognition across the district. Redistricting adopted in late 2025 shifted boundaries to add more rural and Republican-leaning counties, producing a simulated 2024 presidential result of Trump 54.8% to Harris 44.2% and prompting varied forecaster ratings from toss-up to tilt Republican. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and later received an endorsement from President Trump. Kaptur, who narrowly defeated Merrin in 2024 on prior lines, returned to congressional duties in mid-September following an August hit-and-run accident, allowing her campaign to emphasize local economic issues ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$32,988結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in the Ohio 9th District race due to her decades-long incumbency, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly $4.3 million raised versus $1.5 million for challenger Derek Merrin, and established name recognition across the district. Redistricting adopted in late 2025 shifted boundaries to add more rural and Republican-leaning counties, producing a simulated 2024 presidential result of Trump 54.8% to Harris 44.2% and prompting varied forecaster ratings from toss-up to tilt Republican. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and later received an endorsement from President Trump. Kaptur, who narrowly defeated Merrin in 2024 on prior lines, returned to congressional duties in mid-September following an August hit-and-run accident, allowing her campaign to emphasize local economic issues ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,988結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETIncumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in the Ohio 9th District race due to her decades-long incumbency, substantial fundraising advantage of roughly $4.3 million raised versus $1.5 million for challenger Derek Merrin, and established name recognition across the district. Redistricting adopted in late 2025 shifted boundaries to add more rural and Republican-leaning counties, producing a simulated 2024 presidential result of Trump 54.8% to Harris 44.2% and prompting varied forecaster ratings from toss-up to tilt Republican. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in May after a competitive primary and later received an endorsement from President Trump. Kaptur, who narrowly defeated Merrin in 2024 on prior lines, returned to congressional duties in mid-September following an August hit-and-run accident, allowing her campaign to emphasize local economic issues ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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