Louisiana’s November 3 general election pits Republican Rep. Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis for the open Senate seat, with the state’s Republican lean and recent low-turnout party primaries shaping expectations. The May primary and June runoffs produced roughly 400,000 Republican and 340,000 Democratic ballots initially, dropping sharply in the runoff to about 17% overall participation among roughly 3 million registered voters. Traders have clustered probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million total ballots, reflecting typical midterm Senate turnout patterns rather than presidential-year highs. Key variables that could shift totals include both parties’ get-out-the-vote intensity, any late national political developments, and Election Day conditions, keeping the leading ranges tightly bunched.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於130萬-140萬 37.4%
1,400,000-1,500,000 30%
1.5M-1.6M 25.9%
120萬-130萬 4.6%
$12,265 交易量
$12,265 交易量
2027-03-31
少於 1.1M
<1%
110萬-120萬
2%
120萬-130萬
5%
130萬-140萬
37%
1,400,000-1,500,000
30%
1.5M-1.6M
26%
160萬-170萬
4%
170萬+
4%
130萬-140萬 37.4%
1,400,000-1,500,000 30%
1.5M-1.6M 25.9%
120萬-130萬 4.6%
$12,265 交易量
$12,265 交易量
2027-03-31
少於 1.1M
$321 交易量
<1%
110萬-120萬
$1,225 交易量
2%
120萬-130萬
$3,926 交易量
5%
130萬-140萬
$1,159 交易量
37%
1,400,000-1,500,000
$2,289 交易量
30%
1.5M-1.6M
$2,293 交易量
26%
160萬-170萬
$623 交易量
4%
170萬+
$429 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana’s November 3 general election pits Republican Rep. Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis for the open Senate seat, with the state’s Republican lean and recent low-turnout party primaries shaping expectations. The May primary and June runoffs produced roughly 400,000 Republican and 340,000 Democratic ballots initially, dropping sharply in the runoff to about 17% overall participation among roughly 3 million registered voters. Traders have clustered probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million total ballots, reflecting typical midterm Senate turnout patterns rather than presidential-year highs. Key variables that could shift totals include both parties’ get-out-the-vote intensity, any late national political developments, and Election Day conditions, keeping the leading ranges tightly bunched.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
交易量
$12,265結束日期
2027-04-01市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana’s November 3 general election pits Republican Rep. Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis for the open Senate seat, with the state’s Republican lean and recent low-turnout party primaries shaping expectations. The May primary and June runoffs produced roughly 400,000 Republican and 340,000 Democratic ballots initially, dropping sharply in the runoff to about 17% overall participation among roughly 3 million registered voters. Traders have clustered probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million total ballots, reflecting typical midterm Senate turnout patterns rather than presidential-year highs. Key variables that could shift totals include both parties’ get-out-the-vote intensity, any late national political developments, and Election Day conditions, keeping the leading ranges tightly bunched.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$12,265結束日期
2027-04-01市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETLouisiana’s November 3 general election pits Republican Rep. Julia Letlow against Democrat Jamie Davis for the open Senate seat, with the state’s Republican lean and recent low-turnout party primaries shaping expectations. The May primary and June runoffs produced roughly 400,000 Republican and 340,000 Democratic ballots initially, dropping sharply in the runoff to about 17% overall participation among roughly 3 million registered voters. Traders have clustered probabilities around 1.3–1.5 million total ballots, reflecting typical midterm Senate turnout patterns rather than presidential-year highs. Key variables that could shift totals include both parties’ get-out-the-vote intensity, any late national political developments, and Election Day conditions, keeping the leading ranges tightly bunched.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions