Hank Johnson's long tenure as incumbent in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean in Atlanta suburbs such as DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, underpins trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Johnson secured roughly 79% in the May Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Johnson's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Duffie's profile as a Navy veteran and former executive has not shifted the contest. A major scandal, sudden health event affecting Johnson, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,081 交易量
$48,081 交易量
2026-11-02
Hank Johnson（民主黨）
96%
詹姆斯·達菲（共和黨）
3%
$48,081 交易量
$48,081 交易量
2026-11-02
Hank Johnson（民主黨）
$29,990 交易量
96%
詹姆斯·達菲（共和黨）
$18,091 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hank Johnson's long tenure as incumbent in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean in Atlanta suburbs such as DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, underpins trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Johnson secured roughly 79% in the May Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Johnson's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Duffie's profile as a Navy veteran and former executive has not shifted the contest. A major scandal, sudden health event affecting Johnson, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$48,081結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hank Johnson's long tenure as incumbent in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean in Atlanta suburbs such as DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, underpins trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Johnson secured roughly 79% in the May Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Johnson's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Duffie's profile as a Navy veteran and former executive has not shifted the contest. A major scandal, sudden health event affecting Johnson, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,081結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETHank Johnson's long tenure as incumbent in Georgia's 4th Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean in Atlanta suburbs such as DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, underpins trader consensus around his strong position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Johnson secured roughly 79% in the May Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Johnson's 2024 margin exceeding 50 points. Duffie's profile as a Navy veteran and former executive has not shifted the contest. A major scandal, sudden health event affecting Johnson, or unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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