Florida's special Senate election on November 3, 2026, features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking to complete Marco Rubio's term after his confirmation as Secretary of State. Recent University of North Florida polling shows Moody ahead of leading Democratic primary contenders by 8-10 points, consistent with Florida's Republican tilt in federal contests and the structural edge held by the state's GOP appointee. Rick Scott's endorsement of Moody reinforces party unity, while Democratic candidates Angela Nixon and Alex Vindman remain in a competitive primary without demonstrated strength against the incumbent in head-to-head surveys. Trader consensus at 87% Republican reflects these polling trends, incumbency advantages, and historical performance in the state, with limited recent catalysts to shift the balance before the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$68,903 交易量
$68,903 交易量

共和黨
87%

民主黨
14%
$68,903 交易量
$68,903 交易量

共和黨
87%

民主黨
14%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's special Senate election on November 3, 2026, features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking to complete Marco Rubio's term after his confirmation as Secretary of State. Recent University of North Florida polling shows Moody ahead of leading Democratic primary contenders by 8-10 points, consistent with Florida's Republican tilt in federal contests and the structural edge held by the state's GOP appointee. Rick Scott's endorsement of Moody reinforces party unity, while Democratic candidates Angela Nixon and Alex Vindman remain in a competitive primary without demonstrated strength against the incumbent in head-to-head surveys. Trader consensus at 87% Republican reflects these polling trends, incumbency advantages, and historical performance in the state, with limited recent catalysts to shift the balance before the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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