Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race because the area has long favored Democrats by wide margins, with nearly a 2-to-1 voter registration edge and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. As the incumbent who won the 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points, Grijalva benefits from established name recognition, local government experience, and uncontested 2026 primaries on both sides. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Even with this positioning, an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,780 交易量
$32,780 交易量
2026-11-02
阿德麗塔·格里哈爾瓦（民主黨）
96%
Daniel Butierez（共和黨）
5%
$32,780 交易量
$32,780 交易量
2026-11-02
阿德麗塔·格里哈爾瓦（民主黨）
$5,800 交易量
96%
Daniel Butierez（共和黨）
$26,980 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race because the area has long favored Democrats by wide margins, with nearly a 2-to-1 voter registration edge and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. As the incumbent who won the 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points, Grijalva benefits from established name recognition, local government experience, and uncontested 2026 primaries on both sides. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Even with this positioning, an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$32,780結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race because the area has long favored Democrats by wide margins, with nearly a 2-to-1 voter registration edge and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. As the incumbent who won the 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points, Grijalva benefits from established name recognition, local government experience, and uncontested 2026 primaries on both sides. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Even with this positioning, an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,780結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAdelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 7th congressional district race because the area has long favored Democrats by wide margins, with nearly a 2-to-1 voter registration edge and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. As the incumbent who won the 2025 special election to succeed her father by roughly 40 points, Grijalva benefits from established name recognition, local government experience, and uncontested 2026 primaries on both sides. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Even with this positioning, an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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