The crowded field of more than a dozen candidates contesting Roraima's two Senate seats in Brazil's October 2026 election has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered, with no candidate exceeding low-20s percent in current trader consensus. Recent party conventions and formal launches by figures including Rogério Miranda, Chico Rodrigues, and others have not yet produced clear frontrunners or consolidated support in the state's fragmented political environment. Absent published polls or major endorsements, the market reflects uncertainty over potential alliances and turnout dynamics among local voting blocs. Scheduled events such as additional party definitions or early surveys within the next month could begin to separate the pack ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Rogério Miranda 34%
Regina Tio Ivo 33%
Teresa Surita 32%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Rogério Miranda
34%
Regina Tio Ivo
33%
Teresa Surita
32%
Hiperion de Oliveira
18%
Hilton Xavier
19%
Márcio Junqueira
18%
Mario Rocha
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
12%
Helena da Asatur
10%
Pastor Isamar
10%
Bartô Macuxi
7%
Chico Rodrigues
34%
Nicoletti
35%
Rogério Miranda 34%
Regina Tio Ivo 33%
Teresa Surita 32%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Rogério Miranda
$57 交易量
34%
Regina Tio Ivo
$57 交易量
33%
Teresa Surita
$57 交易量
32%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$73 交易量
18%
Hilton Xavier
$57 交易量
19%
Márcio Junqueira
$57 交易量
18%
Mario Rocha
$57 交易量
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
$57 交易量
12%
Helena da Asatur
$57 交易量
10%
Pastor Isamar
$57 交易量
10%
Bartô Macuxi
$57 交易量
7%
Chico Rodrigues
$73 交易量
34%
Nicoletti
$78 交易量
35%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of more than a dozen candidates contesting Roraima's two Senate seats in Brazil's October 2026 election has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered, with no candidate exceeding low-20s percent in current trader consensus. Recent party conventions and formal launches by figures including Rogério Miranda, Chico Rodrigues, and others have not yet produced clear frontrunners or consolidated support in the state's fragmented political environment. Absent published polls or major endorsements, the market reflects uncertainty over potential alliances and turnout dynamics among local voting blocs. Scheduled events such as additional party definitions or early surveys within the next month could begin to separate the pack ahead of the general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
交易量
$790結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of more than a dozen candidates contesting Roraima's two Senate seats in Brazil's October 2026 election has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered, with no candidate exceeding low-20s percent in current trader consensus. Recent party conventions and formal launches by figures including Rogério Miranda, Chico Rodrigues, and others have not yet produced clear frontrunners or consolidated support in the state's fragmented political environment. Absent published polls or major endorsements, the market reflects uncertainty over potential alliances and turnout dynamics among local voting blocs. Scheduled events such as additional party definitions or early surveys within the next month could begin to separate the pack ahead of the general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$790結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of more than a dozen candidates contesting Roraima's two Senate seats in Brazil's October 2026 election has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered, with no candidate exceeding low-20s percent in current trader consensus. Recent party conventions and formal launches by figures including Rogério Miranda, Chico Rodrigues, and others have not yet produced clear frontrunners or consolidated support in the state's fragmented political environment. Absent published polls or major endorsements, the market reflects uncertainty over potential alliances and turnout dynamics among local voting blocs. Scheduled events such as additional party definitions or early surveys within the next month could begin to separate the pack ahead of the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions