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政治·巴西

羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家

icon for 羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家

亞瑟·恩里克 45%

Clébio Genuíno 45%

法拉·梅斯基塔 45%

羅西·艾雷斯 45%

Polymarket
最新

亞瑟·恩里克 45%

Clébio Genuíno 45%

法拉·梅斯基塔 45%

羅西·艾雷斯 45%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 亞瑟·恩里克

亞瑟·恩里克

$0 交易量

45%

icon for Clébio Genuíno

Clébio Genuíno

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 法拉·梅斯基塔

法拉·梅斯基塔

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 羅西·艾雷斯

羅西·艾雷斯

$0 交易量

45%

icon for 薩爾達多·桑帕尤

薩爾達多·桑帕尤

$0 交易量

45%

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election features a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires (PSOL), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO), following party conventions in recent weeks. A June 2026 special election produced a clear short-term winner, but the October contest for the full term remains open months ahead of voting. Trader consensus around 44% odds for leading names reflects balanced early positioning across parties, limited consolidated polling, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements. Factors such as regional alliances, turnout dynamics in a small electorate, and potential late shifts in candidate viability or legal eligibility determinations could widen gaps as the race progresses.

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election features a fragmented field of declared candidates, including Arthur Henrique (PL), Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), Farah Mesquita (Solidariedade), Rosi Aires (PSOL), and Clébio Genuíno (PCO), following party conventions in recent weeks. A June 2026 special election produced a clear short-term winner, but the October contest for the full term remains open months ahead of voting. Trader consensus around 44% odds for leading names reflects balanced early positioning across parties, limited consolidated polling, and the absence of decisive campaign momentum or major endorsements. Factors such as regional alliances, turnout dynamics in a small electorate, and potential late shifts in candidate viability or legal eligibility determinations could widen gaps as the race progresses.

The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞瑟·恩里克" at 45%, followed by "Clébio Genuíno" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" is "亞瑟·恩里克" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clébio Genuíno" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "羅萊馬州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.