The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於娜塔莎醫生 46%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 46%
威靈頓·法古恩德斯 44%
毛里西奧·科埃略 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
娜塔莎醫生
46%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔
46%
威靈頓·法古恩德斯
44%
毛里西奧·科埃略
44%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧
43%
Rafaell Milas
42%
娜塔莎醫生 46%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 46%
威靈頓·法古恩德斯 44%
毛里西奧·科埃略 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
娜塔莎醫生
$0 交易量
46%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔
$0 交易量
46%
威靈頓·法古恩德斯
$0 交易量
44%
毛里西奧·科埃略
$0 交易量
44%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧
$0 交易量
43%
Rafaell Milas
$0 交易量
42%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with trader probabilities clustered near even across more than a dozen declared candidates reflecting a fragmented field and substantial undecided voters in recent surveys. Incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) faces challenges from Wellington Fagundes (PL), Natasha Slhessarenko (PSD), Sargento Laudicério (Agir), Rafaell Milas (Missão), Maurício Coelho and others formalized through recent party conventions. Early polling shows modest leads for Fagundes and Pivetta but with no majority support and elevated shares for “none of these” or blank responses. Key dynamics include potential second-round alliances, agricultural policy priorities in the state, and turnout patterns among rural and urban blocs that could consolidate support or keep outcomes fluid until closer to election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions