Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent polling leads, including a Quaest survey placing her ahead of rivals, which aligns with her 78.5% implied probability in trader consensus. As a former federal deputy with coalition backing from the Popular Front, including PSB and allied parties, her campaign has emphasized consolidation through recent ticket adjustments naming Edjane Figueiredo. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) follows at lower odds amid shared coalition dynamics, while opposition figures like Eduardo da Fonte and others trail further behind. National polarization and social media engagement have shaped state-level momentum ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader assessments reflecting these survey trends and structural advantages for established candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Marília Arraes 78%
Carlos Sant'Anna 9%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
Mariano Macedo 5.2%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
78%
Carlos Sant'Anna
9%
Mailson da Silva Neto
7%
Mariano Macedo
5%
Mendonça Filho
5%
Samuel Timoteo
5%
Gorett Bitu
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
10%
Eduardo da Fonte
1%
Humberto Costa
1%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
1%
Marília Arraes 78%
Carlos Sant'Anna 9%
Mailson da Silva Neto 7%
Mariano Macedo 5.2%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
$292 交易量
78%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$123 交易量
9%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$154 交易量
7%
Mariano Macedo
$134 交易量
5%
Mendonça Filho
$126 交易量
5%
Samuel Timoteo
$148 交易量
5%
Gorett Bitu
$126 交易量
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$126 交易量
10%
Eduardo da Fonte
$123 交易量
1%
Humberto Costa
$113 交易量
1%
Túlio Gadêlha
$126 交易量
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$126 交易量
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent polling leads, including a Quaest survey placing her ahead of rivals, which aligns with her 78.5% implied probability in trader consensus. As a former federal deputy with coalition backing from the Popular Front, including PSB and allied parties, her campaign has emphasized consolidation through recent ticket adjustments naming Edjane Figueiredo. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) follows at lower odds amid shared coalition dynamics, while opposition figures like Eduardo da Fonte and others trail further behind. National polarization and social media engagement have shaped state-level momentum ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader assessments reflecting these survey trends and structural advantages for established candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,718結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent polling leads, including a Quaest survey placing her ahead of rivals, which aligns with her 78.5% implied probability in trader consensus. As a former federal deputy with coalition backing from the Popular Front, including PSB and allied parties, her campaign has emphasized consolidation through recent ticket adjustments naming Edjane Figueiredo. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) follows at lower odds amid shared coalition dynamics, while opposition figures like Eduardo da Fonte and others trail further behind. National polarization and social media engagement have shaped state-level momentum ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader assessments reflecting these survey trends and structural advantages for established candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,718結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position in the Pernambuco Senate race due to consistent polling leads, including a Quaest survey placing her ahead of rivals, which aligns with her 78.5% implied probability in trader consensus. As a former federal deputy with coalition backing from the Popular Front, including PSB and allied parties, her campaign has emphasized consolidation through recent ticket adjustments naming Edjane Figueiredo. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) follows at lower odds amid shared coalition dynamics, while opposition figures like Eduardo da Fonte and others trail further behind. National polarization and social media engagement have shaped state-level momentum ahead of the October 4 vote, with trader assessments reflecting these survey trends and structural advantages for established candidates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions