Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
薩繆爾·蒂莫泰奧 44%
圖利奧·加德利亞 44%
吉爾萬·科斯塔牧師 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Paulo Rubem Santiago
44%
薩繆爾·蒂莫泰奧
44%
圖利奧·加德利亞
44%
吉爾萬·科斯塔牧師
44%
馬里亞諾·馬塞多
42%
埃杜阿多·達·豐特
42%
Mendonça Filho
42%
Gorett Bitu
42%
翁貝托·科斯塔
41%
Mailson da Silva Neto
41%
馬麗利亞·阿拉埃斯
40%
卡洛斯·聖安娜
39%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 44%
薩繆爾·蒂莫泰奧 44%
圖利奧·加德利亞 44%
吉爾萬·科斯塔牧師 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 交易量
44%
薩繆爾·蒂莫泰奧
$0 交易量
44%
圖利奧·加德利亞
$0 交易量
44%
吉爾萬·科斯塔牧師
$0 交易量
44%
馬里亞諾·馬塞多
$0 交易量
42%
埃杜阿多·達·豐特
$0 交易量
42%
Mendonça Filho
$0 交易量
42%
Gorett Bitu
$0 交易量
42%
翁貝托·科斯塔
$0 交易量
41%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 交易量
41%
馬麗利亞·阿拉埃斯
$0 交易量
40%
卡洛斯·聖安娜
$0 交易量
39%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions