Rui Costa leads the Bahia Senate race for first place in trader pricing, reflecting his established PT base, prior service as state governor and presidential chief of staff, and consistent poll leads reported through mid-2026. Nominations finalized earlier this year placed him alongside Jaques Wagner on the governing coalition ticket for the two seats at stake, while opposition figures including João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and others remain more fragmented across parties. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, with no major late shifts or scandals altering the field. The contest stays competitive because multiple candidates hover near viability thresholds in a multi-seat, single-round vote, and small changes in turnout or coalition turnout could reorder the top finishers. Historical PT dominance in Bahia underpins the current consensus, though turnout patterns in October will determine final separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魯伊·科斯塔 66%
Jaques Wagner 23%
教授德利安娜 23%
馬塞洛·米萊特 22%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
魯伊·科斯塔
66%
Jaques Wagner
23%
教授德利安娜
23%
馬塞洛·米萊特
22%
若昂·羅馬
21%
Angelo Coronel
21%
Carlos Sodré
19%
馬塞洛·卡瓦略
19%
Marcelo Santtana
13%
Gregorio Gould
4%
魯伊·科斯塔 66%
Jaques Wagner 23%
教授德利安娜 23%
馬塞洛·米萊特 22%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
魯伊·科斯塔
$30 交易量
66%
Jaques Wagner
$10 交易量
23%
教授德利安娜
$10 交易量
23%
馬塞洛·米萊特
$10 交易量
22%
若昂·羅馬
$10 交易量
21%
Angelo Coronel
$10 交易量
21%
Carlos Sodré
$21 交易量
19%
馬塞洛·卡瓦略
$21 交易量
19%
Marcelo Santtana
$10 交易量
13%
Gregorio Gould
$62 交易量
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa leads the Bahia Senate race for first place in trader pricing, reflecting his established PT base, prior service as state governor and presidential chief of staff, and consistent poll leads reported through mid-2026. Nominations finalized earlier this year placed him alongside Jaques Wagner on the governing coalition ticket for the two seats at stake, while opposition figures including João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and others remain more fragmented across parties. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, with no major late shifts or scandals altering the field. The contest stays competitive because multiple candidates hover near viability thresholds in a multi-seat, single-round vote, and small changes in turnout or coalition turnout could reorder the top finishers. Historical PT dominance in Bahia underpins the current consensus, though turnout patterns in October will determine final separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
交易量
$194結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa leads the Bahia Senate race for first place in trader pricing, reflecting his established PT base, prior service as state governor and presidential chief of staff, and consistent poll leads reported through mid-2026. Nominations finalized earlier this year placed him alongside Jaques Wagner on the governing coalition ticket for the two seats at stake, while opposition figures including João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and others remain more fragmented across parties. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, with no major late shifts or scandals altering the field. The contest stays competitive because multiple candidates hover near viability thresholds in a multi-seat, single-round vote, and small changes in turnout or coalition turnout could reorder the top finishers. Historical PT dominance in Bahia underpins the current consensus, though turnout patterns in October will determine final separation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$194結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rui Costa leads the Bahia Senate race for first place in trader pricing, reflecting his established PT base, prior service as state governor and presidential chief of staff, and consistent poll leads reported through mid-2026. Nominations finalized earlier this year placed him alongside Jaques Wagner on the governing coalition ticket for the two seats at stake, while opposition figures including João Roma, Angelo Coronel, and others remain more fragmented across parties. Official campaigning opened in mid-August, with no major late shifts or scandals altering the field. The contest stays competitive because multiple candidates hover near viability thresholds in a multi-seat, single-round vote, and small changes in turnout or coalition turnout could reorder the top finishers. Historical PT dominance in Bahia underpins the current consensus, though turnout patterns in October will determine final separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions