Mat Siscoe, the incumbent mayor since 2022 after serving multiple terms on council, holds an 86% implied probability as the frontrunner in the October 26, 2026, St. Catharines mayoral election. His strong prior performance, securing roughly 69% of the vote in the last contest, combined with name recognition, established community ties, and regional leadership roles underpin trader consensus. Registered challengers including Ann-Marie Zammit, Anthony A. Adeoye, Jimmy Jackson, and Henry Bosch trail significantly at single-digit or low-double-digit levels, reflecting limited visibility and resources in a municipal race where incumbency typically confers substantial advantages. Nominations closed in mid-August with no major recent developments altering the competitive landscape.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Mat Siscoe 86%
安-瑪麗·扎米特 8%
安東尼·A·阿德奧耶 7%
Jimmy Jackson 2.0%

Mat Siscoe
86%

安-瑪麗·扎米特
8%

安東尼·A·阿德奧耶
7%

Jimmy Jackson
2%
Mat Siscoe 86%
安-瑪麗·扎米特 8%
安東尼·A·阿德奧耶 7%
Jimmy Jackson 2.0%

Mat Siscoe
86%

安-瑪麗·扎米特
8%

安東尼·A·阿德奧耶
7%

Jimmy Jackson
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Catharines, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from St. Catharines, Ontario.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mat Siscoe, the incumbent mayor since 2022 after serving multiple terms on council, holds an 86% implied probability as the frontrunner in the October 26, 2026, St. Catharines mayoral election. His strong prior performance, securing roughly 69% of the vote in the last contest, combined with name recognition, established community ties, and regional leadership roles underpin trader consensus. Registered challengers including Ann-Marie Zammit, Anthony A. Adeoye, Jimmy Jackson, and Henry Bosch trail significantly at single-digit or low-double-digit levels, reflecting limited visibility and resources in a municipal race where incumbency typically confers substantial advantages. Nominations closed in mid-August with no major recent developments altering the competitive landscape.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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