**Bryan Paterson holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Kingston mayoral election, reflecting his status as a long-serving incumbent with dominant past results.** Paterson, first elected in 2014 and re-elected with 74% in 2022, announced his bid for a fourth term in mid-June 2026 after returning from an unsuccessful 2025 federal Conservative nomination attempt. His campaign emphasizes continuity on affordability, housing, and safety amid a growing but largely untested field. Challenger Conny Glenn, a sitting councillor, draws the next-highest support, followed by lower probabilities for Vanessa Mensah and Stephen Cuthbertson. The wide gap aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates in similar Canadian municipal races and limited recent polling or campaign momentum for alternatives. No major late developments have altered the positioning since nominations closed in August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Bryan Paterson 84%
康妮·格倫 11%
Vanessa Mensah 6%
葛蘭特·威廉·貝達爾 5.2%

Bryan Paterson
84%

康妮·格倫
11%

Vanessa Mensah
6%

葛蘭特·威廉·貝達爾
5%

史蒂芬·卡斯伯特森
1%
Bryan Paterson 84%
康妮·格倫 11%
Vanessa Mensah 6%
葛蘭特·威廉·貝達爾 5.2%

Bryan Paterson
84%

康妮·格倫
11%

Vanessa Mensah
6%

葛蘭特·威廉·貝達爾
5%

史蒂芬·卡斯伯特森
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kingston, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kingston, Ontario.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Bryan Paterson holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the October 26, 2026 Kingston mayoral election, reflecting his status as a long-serving incumbent with dominant past results.** Paterson, first elected in 2014 and re-elected with 74% in 2022, announced his bid for a fourth term in mid-June 2026 after returning from an unsuccessful 2025 federal Conservative nomination attempt. His campaign emphasizes continuity on affordability, housing, and safety amid a growing but largely untested field. Challenger Conny Glenn, a sitting councillor, draws the next-highest support, followed by lower probabilities for Vanessa Mensah and Stephen Cuthbertson. The wide gap aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates in similar Canadian municipal races and limited recent polling or campaign momentum for alternatives. No major late developments have altered the positioning since nominations closed in August.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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