Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,175 交易量
$10,175 交易量
2026-11-03
布萊恩·史戴爾（共和黨）
69%
米契爾·伯曼（民主黨）
32%
$10,175 交易量
$10,175 交易量
2026-11-03
布萊恩·史戴爾（共和黨）
$5,439 交易量
69%
米契爾·伯曼（民主黨）
$4,737 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$10,175結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,175結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETIncumbent Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning him a 68.5% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Mitchell Berman. Steil's position stems from the district's longstanding Republican tilt, his incumbency since 2019, and a substantial fundraising advantage, even after redistricting added competitive areas around Beloit and Janesville. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican. Berman, an ER nurse who won his August 11 primary, has launched early advertising highlighting working-class issues and criticizing special-interest influence, and one late-summer poll showed the race within a point. Upcoming campaign events and additional polling will shape final assessments of the contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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