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icon for Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？
政治·滑雪

Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？

icon for Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？
政治·滑雪

Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$49,838 交易量

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$49,838 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US law limits revocation of birthright citizenship to narrow statutory grounds such as naturalization fraud or specified criminal conduct, rather than athletic representation of another nation. Eileen Gu acquired US citizenship at birth and holds Chinese citizenship through naturalization, yet no Federal Register expatriation listing, DOJ proceeding, or legislative proposal has targeted her status despite ongoing public debate around the 2026 Olympics. Traders assign 97.8% probability to no revocation by year-end because no administrative process is underway and dual nationality remains legally permissible absent those triggers. Low-probability shifts could arise from new congressional expatriation rules or documented prior fraud, though neither has emerged.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$49,838
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US law limits revocation of birthright citizenship to narrow statutory grounds such as naturalization fraud or specified criminal conduct, rather than athletic representation of another nation. Eileen Gu acquired US citizenship at birth and holds Chinese citizenship through naturalization, yet no Federal Register expatriation listing, DOJ proceeding, or legislative proposal has targeted her status despite ongoing public debate around the 2026 Olympics. Traders assign 97.8% probability to no revocation by year-end because no administrative process is underway and dual nationality remains legally permissible absent those triggers. Low-probability shifts could arise from new congressional expatriation rules or documented prior fraud, though neither has emerged.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if freestyle skier Eileen Gu's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$49,838
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 20, 2026, 7:37 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "谷愛凌被撤銷國籍了嗎？" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" has generated $49.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" is "谷愛凌被撤銷國籍了嗎？" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Eileen Gu的公民身份被撤銷？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.