2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽

$1,064,557 交易量

2026-05-12

以色列

$52,867 交易量

是

愛沙尼亞

$77,510 交易量

否

黑山

$32,447 交易量

否

聖馬利諾

$35,020 交易量

否

比利時

$39,093 交易量

是

芬蘭

$394,351 交易量

是

希臘

$59,682 交易量

是

立陶宛

$32,279 交易量

是

摩爾多瓦

$57,971 交易量

是

波蘭

$52,349 交易量

是

葡萄牙

$77,624 交易量

否

瑞典

$19,701 交易量

是

克羅埃西亞

$21,041 交易量

是

格魯吉亞

$47,954 交易量

否

塞爾維亞

$64,670 交易量

是

$1,064,557 交易量

以色列

$52,867 交易量

是

愛沙尼亞

$77,510 交易量

否

黑山

$32,447 交易量

否

聖馬利諾

$35,020 交易量

否

比利時

$39,093 交易量

是

芬蘭

$394,351 交易量

是

希臘

$59,682 交易量

是

立陶宛

$32,279 交易量

是

摩爾多瓦

$57,971 交易量

是

波蘭

$52,349 交易量

是

葡萄牙

$77,624 交易量

否

瑞典

$19,701 交易量

是

克羅埃西亞

$21,041 交易量

是

格魯吉亞

$47,954 交易量

否

塞爾維亞

$64,670 交易量

是

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "以色列" at 100%, followed by "比利時" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" is "以色列" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "比利時" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.1 million traded on “2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "以色列" in the "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "以色列" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" market has a growing discussion of 8 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽

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Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 100¢ for "以色列" mean?

When does the "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：首場準決賽" market close?

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