France enters as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé's elite form, defensive solidity from William Saliba and a deep roster despite forward Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles rupture confirmed by Didier Deschamps on April 15, ruling him out of the tournament. Norway holds steady at 24.5% on Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard's qualifier dominance—scoring 37 goals in eight matches—positioning them for wins over Iraq while challenging Senegal. Senegal's 5.5% reflects athleticism from Boulaye Dia and Yves Bissouma but tougher head-to-heads after CAF Group B triumph; Iraq's recent playoff victory over Bolivia fades against superior opposition, lumping others at 0.3%. Previews highlight France's tactical edge in high-pressing simulations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於法國 71%
挪威 25%
塞內加爾 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,121 交易量
$108,121 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
25%
塞內加爾
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
法國 71%
挪威 25%
塞內加爾 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$108,121 交易量
$108,121 交易量
法國
71%
挪威
25%
塞內加爾
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé's elite form, defensive solidity from William Saliba and a deep roster despite forward Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles rupture confirmed by Didier Deschamps on April 15, ruling him out of the tournament. Norway holds steady at 24.5% on Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard's qualifier dominance—scoring 37 goals in eight matches—positioning them for wins over Iraq while challenging Senegal. Senegal's 5.5% reflects athleticism from Boulaye Dia and Yves Bissouma but tougher head-to-heads after CAF Group B triumph; Iraq's recent playoff victory over Bolivia fades against superior opposition, lumping others at 0.3%. Previews highlight France's tactical edge in high-pressing simulations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions