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icon for FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?

icon for FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?

$6,567 交易量

2026-07-31
Polymarket

$6,567 交易量

Polymarket

7月31日

$4,853 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may reauthorize the legislation for any duration. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the Library of Congress (congress.gov) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**FISA Section 702, the warrantless foreign surveillance authority under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, lapsed on June 12, 2026, after Congress failed to pass a reauthorization amid partisan deadlock.** Short extensions in April and May pushed the deadline from its original April 2026 sunset (following the 2024 RISAA reauthorization) but collapsed over demands for stronger privacy reforms, including warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, amid documented FBI compliance issues and concerns about potential political misuse. Democrats blocked extensions partly in response to President Trump’s acting DNI appointment of Bill Pulte, while Republicans prioritized uninterrupted intelligence collection. Existing FISC certifications allow continued data acquisition through March 2027 regardless of statutory lapse, reducing immediate operational pressure but leaving long-term authority uncertain. Traders are watching for new bipartisan legislation, House and Senate reform proposals, and any DNI-related political shifts that could break the impasse or extend the program.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may reauthorize the legislation for any duration.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the Library of Congress (congress.gov) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,567
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may reauthorize the legislation for any duration. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the Library of Congress (congress.gov) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

爭議期已延長

最終

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may reauthorize the legislation for any duration. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the Library of Congress (congress.gov) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**FISA Section 702, the warrantless foreign surveillance authority under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, lapsed on June 12, 2026, after Congress failed to pass a reauthorization amid partisan deadlock.** Short extensions in April and May pushed the deadline from its original April 2026 sunset (following the 2024 RISAA reauthorization) but collapsed over demands for stronger privacy reforms, including warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, amid documented FBI compliance issues and concerns about potential political misuse. Democrats blocked extensions partly in response to President Trump’s acting DNI appointment of Bill Pulte, while Republicans prioritized uninterrupted intelligence collection. Existing FISC certifications allow continued data acquisition through March 2027 regardless of statutory lapse, reducing immediate operational pressure but leaving long-term authority uncertain. Traders are watching for new bipartisan legislation, House and Senate reform proposals, and any DNI-related political shifts that could break the impasse or extend the program.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation may reauthorize the legislation for any duration.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the Library of Congress (congress.gov) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,567
結束日期
2026-08-01
市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 6:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may reauthorize the legislation for any duration. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the Library of Congress (congress.gov) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

爭議期已延長

最終

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "7月31日" at 0%, followed by "6月30日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?" is "7月31日" at just 0%, with "6月30日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "FISA Section 702 reauthorized by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.