Jack Lowden leads trader sentiment at 45% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman, who suggested the choice has been made but not announced, alongside earlier comments from podcaster Richard Osman highlighting Lowden as strongly considered. His experience playing an MI5 agent in the Apple TV+ spy series and Scottish heritage echo Connery-era appeal, boosting momentum amid Amazon MGM Studios' ongoing casting for Denis Villeneuve's film. Callum Turner follows at 13.9% on the strength of his leading-man credentials and high-profile marriage, while the 19.1% chance of no selection yet reflects reports that auditions continue with a possible end-of-year reveal. Other shortlist names like Jack Barton and Jacob Elordi trail as the process narrows without official confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於下一個詹姆斯邦德演員?
傑克·勞登 45.0%
尚未選出龐德 19.1%
卡倫·特納 13.9%
傑克·巴頓 8.7%
$964,993 交易量
$964,993 交易量

傑克·勞登
45%

尚未選出龐德
19%

卡倫·特納
14%

傑克·巴頓
9%

傑克·奧康奈爾
3%

理查·麥登
3%

Tom Francis
3%

哈里斯·迪金森
2%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
1%

Theo James
1%

喬許·奧康納
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

強納森·貝利
<1%

雅各布·艾洛迪
<1%

湯姆·布萊斯
<1%

亨利·卡維爾
<1%

提摩西·夏勒梅
<1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%

麥可·B·喬丹
<1%

尼可拉斯·加利齊納
<1%
傑克·勞登 45.0%
尚未選出龐德 19.1%
卡倫·特納 13.9%
傑克·巴頓 8.7%
$964,993 交易量
$964,993 交易量

傑克·勞登
45%

尚未選出龐德
19%

卡倫·特納
14%

傑克·巴頓
9%

傑克·奧康奈爾
3%

理查·麥登
3%

Tom Francis
3%

哈里斯·迪金森
2%

亞倫·泰勒-強森
1%

Theo James
1%

喬許·奧康納
1%

湯姆·哈迪
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

強納森·貝利
<1%

雅各布·艾洛迪
<1%

湯姆·布萊斯
<1%

亨利·卡維爾
<1%

提摩西·夏勒梅
<1%

詹姆斯·諾頓
<1%

皮爾斯·布洛斯南
<1%

湯姆·霍蘭德
<1%

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾
<1%

麥可·B·喬丹
<1%

尼可拉斯·加利齊納
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jack Lowden leads trader sentiment at 45% implied probability, driven by recent endorsements from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman, who suggested the choice has been made but not announced, alongside earlier comments from podcaster Richard Osman highlighting Lowden as strongly considered. His experience playing an MI5 agent in the Apple TV+ spy series and Scottish heritage echo Connery-era appeal, boosting momentum amid Amazon MGM Studios' ongoing casting for Denis Villeneuve's film. Callum Turner follows at 13.9% on the strength of his leading-man credentials and high-profile marriage, while the 19.1% chance of no selection yet reflects reports that auditions continue with a possible end-of-year reveal. Other shortlist names like Jack Barton and Jacob Elordi trail as the process narrows without official confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions