Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 43%
Jack Lowdon 11.7%
Robert James-Collier 10.7%
Tom Holland 10.5%
Callum Turner
36%
Jack Lowdon
11%
Robert James-Collier
11%
Tom Holland
11%
Harris Dickinson
11%
No Bond chosen
8%
Jacob Elordi
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Henry Cavill
5%
Theo James
4%
Josh O'Connor
4%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
James Norton
11%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
Callum Turner 43%
Jack Lowdon 11.7%
Robert James-Collier 10.7%
Tom Holland 10.5%
Callum Turner
36%
Jack Lowdon
11%
Robert James-Collier
11%
Tom Holland
11%
Harris Dickinson
11%
No Bond chosen
8%
Jacob Elordi
6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Henry Cavill
5%
Theo James
4%
Josh O'Connor
4%
Michael B Jordan
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Timothee Chalamet
3%
Paul Mescal
3%
James Norton
11%
Pierce Brosnan
1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions