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icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

icon for 下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？

傑克·勞登 32.7%

尚未選出龐德 24.0%

卡倫·特納 23.8%

傑克·巴頓 7.4%

Polymarket

$935,676 交易量

傑克·勞登 32.7%

尚未選出龐德 24.0%

卡倫·特納 23.8%

傑克·巴頓 7.4%

Polymarket

$935,676 交易量

icon for 傑克·勞登

傑克·勞登

$166,341 交易量

33%

icon for 尚未選出龐德

尚未選出龐德

$425,928 交易量

24%

icon for 卡倫·特納

卡倫·特納

$71,601 交易量

24%

icon for 傑克·巴頓

傑克·巴頓

$41,236 交易量

7%

icon for 傑克·奧康奈爾

傑克·奧康奈爾

$21,473 交易量

3%

icon for 理查·麥登

理查·麥登

$10,698 交易量

3%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$28,549 交易量

3%

icon for 哈里斯·迪金森

哈里斯·迪金森

$13,828 交易量

2%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$12,844 交易量

1%

icon for 亞倫·泰勒-強森

亞倫·泰勒-強森

$21,593 交易量

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$8,750 交易量

<1%

icon for 雅各布·艾洛迪

雅各布·艾洛迪

$14,069 交易量

<1%

icon for 詹姆斯·諾頓

詹姆斯·諾頓

$13,273 交易量

<1%

icon for 亨利·卡維爾

亨利·卡維爾

$9,183 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

羅伯特·詹姆斯-柯利爾

$6,740 交易量

<1%

icon for 喬許·奧康納

喬許·奧康納

$11,211 交易量

<1%

icon for 提摩西·夏勒梅

提摩西·夏勒梅

$7,903 交易量

<1%

icon for 強納森·貝利

強納森·貝利

$8,299 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·布萊斯

湯姆·布萊斯

$4,589 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·哈迪

湯姆·哈迪

$10,561 交易量

<1%

icon for 皮爾斯·布洛斯南

皮爾斯·布洛斯南

$8,315 交易量

<1%

icon for 湯姆·霍蘭德

湯姆·霍蘭德

$7,697 交易量

<1%

icon for 麥可·B·喬丹

麥可·B·喬丹

$5,620 交易量

<1%

icon for 尼可拉斯·加利齊納

尼可拉斯·加利齊納

$5,376 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider momentum has propelled Jack Lowden into the lead among traders, fueled by public endorsements from *Slow Horses* co-star Gary Oldman and comments from podcaster Richard Osman highlighting him as strongly considered. The market reflects a tight three-way contest with “No Bond chosen” and Callum Turner close behind, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in a process that has narrowed to a reported shortlist including Lowden, Turner, Jack Barton, and others for screen tests under director Denis Villeneuve and producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman. Callum Turner’s earlier frontrunner status has cooled amid shifting reports, while the substantial “no choice yet” probability accounts for the franchise’s deliberate timeline, with an announcement eyed before year-end as production targets 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$935,676
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent insider momentum has propelled Jack Lowden into the lead among traders, fueled by public endorsements from *Slow Horses* co-star Gary Oldman and comments from podcaster Richard Osman highlighting him as strongly considered. The market reflects a tight three-way contest with “No Bond chosen” and Callum Turner close behind, underscoring ongoing uncertainty in a process that has narrowed to a reported shortlist including Lowden, Turner, Jack Barton, and others for screen tests under director Denis Villeneuve and producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman. Callum Turner’s earlier frontrunner status has cooled amid shifting reports, while the substantial “no choice yet” probability accounts for the franchise’s deliberate timeline, with an announcement eyed before year-end as production targets 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$935,676
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑克·勞登" at 33%, followed by "尚未選出龐德" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" has generated $935.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" is "傑克·勞登" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "尚未選出龐德" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一個詹姆斯邦德演員？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.