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選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

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選舉·參議院

下一任參議院多數黨領袖？

查克·舒默 29%

約翰·圖恩 19%

布萊恩·夏茨 12%

科里·布克 5.8%

Polymarket

$33,355 交易量

查克·舒默 29%

約翰·圖恩 19%

布萊恩·夏茨 12%

科里·布克 5.8%

Polymarket

$33,355 交易量

查克·舒默會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

查克·舒默

$3,487 交易量

29%

約翰·圖恩會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

約翰·圖恩

$475 交易量

19%

布萊恩·夏茨會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

布萊恩·夏茨

$861 交易量

12%

科里·布克會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

科里·布克

$527 交易量

6%

林賽·格雷厄姆會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

林賽·格雷厄姆

$8,314 交易量

5%

約翰·巴拉索會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

約翰·巴拉索

$355 交易量

4%

馬克·凱利會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

馬克·凱利

$629 交易量

3%

湯姆·科頓會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

湯姆·科頓

$192 交易量

3%

史蒂夫·戴恩斯會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

史蒂夫·戴恩斯

$18,016 交易量

3%

帕蒂·莫瑞會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

帕蒂·莫瑞

$87 交易量

3%

艾米·克羅布查會成為下一任參議院多數黨領袖嗎？ icon

艾米·克羅布查

$412 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors Chuck Schumer at 29% to reclaim the Senate Majority Leader post as Democrats gain ground in 2026 midterm forecasts, reflecting recent Cook Political Report shifts moving four battleground races—like those in North Carolina and Georgia—toward Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority under current leader John Thune (19%), but defend 22 seats versus Democrats' 13, with vulnerability in swing states fueling the tight race. Internal Democratic divisions over Schumer's recruits and progressive challengers add uncertainty, while GOP dissatisfaction with Thune's leadership tempers his odds. Upcoming candidate announcements and economic trends could widen gaps ahead of November 3 elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$33,355
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus favors Chuck Schumer at 29% to reclaim the Senate Majority Leader post as Democrats gain ground in 2026 midterm forecasts, reflecting recent Cook Political Report shifts moving four battleground races—like those in North Carolina and Georgia—toward Democrats amid historical midterm penalties for the president's party. Republicans hold a 53-47 majority under current leader John Thune (19%), but defend 22 seats versus Democrats' 13, with vulnerability in swing states fueling the tight race. Internal Democratic divisions over Schumer's recruits and progressive challengers add uncertainty, while GOP dissatisfaction with Thune's leadership tempers his odds. Upcoming candidate announcements and economic trends could widen gaps ahead of November 3 elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$33,355
結束日期
2027-01-03
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "查克·舒默" at 29%, followed by "約翰·圖恩" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" has generated $33.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" is "查克·舒默" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·圖恩" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一任參議院多數黨領袖？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.