4月份香港降水量？

Name: 4月份香港降水量？
Start: 2026-03-24T22:39:56.703Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

4月份香港降水量？

4月 30

小於130毫米 30%

140-150毫米 28%

130-140毫米 16%

190毫米以上 9%

$28,856 交易量

2026-04-30

小於130毫米

$13,278 交易量

30%

130-140毫米

$5,213 交易量

28%

140-150毫米

$5,704 交易量

26%

150-160毫米

$3,247 交易量

160-170毫米

$267 交易量

190-200毫米

$208 交易量

180-190

$265 交易量

190毫米以上

$674 交易量

小於130毫米 30%

140-150毫米 28%

130-140毫米 16%

190毫米以上 9%

$28,856 交易量

2026-04-30

小於130毫米

$13,278 交易量

30%

130-140毫米

$5,213 交易量

28%

140-150毫米

$5,704 交易量

26%

150-160毫米

$3,247 交易量

160-170毫米

$267 交易量

190-200毫米

$208 交易量

180-190

$265 交易量

190毫米以上

$674 交易量

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"4月份香港降水量？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "小於130毫米" at 30%, followed by "130-140毫米" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "4月份香港降水量？" has generated $28.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "4月份香港降水量？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "4月份香港降水量？" is "小於130毫米" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "130-140毫米" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "4月份香港降水量？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "4月份香港降水量？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $28.9K traded on “4月份香港降水量？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "4月份香港降水量？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 30¢ for "小於130毫米" in the "4月份香港降水量？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 30% chance that "小於130毫米" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 30¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 70¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "4月份香港降水量？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "4月份香港降水量？" market has an active community of 16 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "4月份香港降水量？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

4月份香港降水量？

4月份香港降水量？

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (16)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "4月份香港降水量？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "4月份香港降水量？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "4月份香港降水量？"?

What are the current odds for "4月份香港降水量？"?

How will "4月份香港降水量？" be resolved?

Can I follow "4月份香港降水量？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "4月份香港降水量？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "4月份香港降水量？"?

What does a price of 30¢ for "小於130毫米" mean?

When does the "4月份香港降水量？" market close?

What are traders saying about "4月份香港降水量？"?

What is Polymarket?