Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low accumulated precipitation in Seoul through mid-April—around 10-20mm per observational reports and trader-cited figures—positioning the under-40mm outcome at a 45.5% market-implied probability, far below the 65-80mm April climatological normal. This dry spell, marked by early-month light showers (5-20mm around April 4-5) followed by persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny conditions over the past week, has suppressed moisture inflow amid neutral ENSO influences. KMA medium-range forecasts show limited rain probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though uncertainty lingers from potential frontal systems or model divergences; daily updates could shift odds as the resolution nears month's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月份首爾降水量?
4月份首爾降水量?
少於40毫米 59%
65-70毫米 14%
75毫米以上 10%
55-60毫米 8%
$16,604 交易量
$16,604 交易量
少於40毫米
47%
40-45毫米
12%
45-50毫米
8%
50-55毫米
10%
55-60毫米
8%
60-65毫米
5%
65-70毫米
14%
70-75毫米
2%
75毫米以上
10%
少於40毫米 59%
65-70毫米 14%
75毫米以上 10%
55-60毫米 8%
$16,604 交易量
$16,604 交易量
少於40毫米
47%
40-45毫米
12%
45-50毫米
8%
50-55毫米
10%
55-60毫米
8%
60-65毫米
5%
65-70毫米
14%
70-75毫米
2%
75毫米以上
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration data reveals exceptionally low accumulated precipitation in Seoul through mid-April—around 10-20mm per observational reports and trader-cited figures—positioning the under-40mm outcome at a 45.5% market-implied probability, far below the 65-80mm April climatological normal. This dry spell, marked by early-month light showers (5-20mm around April 4-5) followed by persistent high-pressure ridging and sunny conditions over the past week, has suppressed moisture inflow amid neutral ENSO influences. KMA medium-range forecasts show limited rain probabilities for the remaining fortnight, though uncertainty lingers from potential frontal systems or model divergences; daily updates could shift odds as the resolution nears month's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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