Trader consensus prices a razor-thin race for Primeira Liga's 16th-place relegation playoff spot, with Estrela da Amadora marginally favored at 39.5% amid a congested mid-table scrap where just 3-5 points separate contenders like Santa Clara, Nacional, and Casa Pia from higher threats including Vitória de Guimarães, Rio Ave, and Arouca. Recent matchday results intensified the chaos: Nacional's 2-0 upset over Estrela narrowed gaps, Alverca's 2-1 road win at Rio Ave vaulted them upward, and Casa Pia's gritty 1-1 draw versus Benfica preserved their position, while heavy defeats for Tondela (5-0 at Vitória de Guimarães) and Santa Clara (4-0 to Sporting CP) stalled momentum. Volatile form, tight goal differences, and pivotal remaining fixtures against top sides keep probabilities bunched, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in this survival battle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於艾斯特雷拉達阿馬多拉 40%
通德拉 39%
維多利亞吉馬良斯 39%
AVS 39%
艾斯特雷拉達阿馬多拉
40%
通德拉
39%
維多利亞吉馬良斯
39%
AVS
39%
莫雷倫斯
39%
埃斯托里爾普拉亞
34%
聖克拉拉
34%
Rio Ave
34%
國民隊
34%
阿爾維卡
34%
Casa Pia
33%
阿羅卡
33%
艾斯特雷拉達阿馬多拉 40%
通德拉 39%
維多利亞吉馬良斯 39%
AVS 39%
艾斯特雷拉達阿馬多拉
40%
通德拉
39%
維多利亞吉馬良斯
39%
AVS
39%
莫雷倫斯
39%
埃斯托里爾普拉亞
34%
聖克拉拉
34%
Rio Ave
34%
國民隊
34%
阿爾維卡
34%
Casa Pia
33%
阿羅卡
33%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a razor-thin race for Primeira Liga's 16th-place relegation playoff spot, with Estrela da Amadora marginally favored at 39.5% amid a congested mid-table scrap where just 3-5 points separate contenders like Santa Clara, Nacional, and Casa Pia from higher threats including Vitória de Guimarães, Rio Ave, and Arouca. Recent matchday results intensified the chaos: Nacional's 2-0 upset over Estrela narrowed gaps, Alverca's 2-1 road win at Rio Ave vaulted them upward, and Casa Pia's gritty 1-1 draw versus Benfica preserved their position, while heavy defeats for Tondela (5-0 at Vitória de Guimarães) and Santa Clara (4-0 to Sporting CP) stalled momentum. Volatile form, tight goal differences, and pivotal remaining fixtures against top sides keep probabilities bunched, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in this survival battle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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