Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
"The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office
>7m 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
5-6m <1%
$368,479 交易量
$368,479 交易量
2026-06-01
<4m
No
4-5m
No
5-6m
No
6-7m
No
>7m
Yes
>7m 100.0%
<4m <1%
4-5m <1%
5-6m <1%
$368,479 交易量
$368,479 交易量
2026-06-01
<4m
$13,788 交易量
No
4-5m
$31,426 交易量
No
5-6m
$21,224 交易量
No
6-7m
$86,444 交易量
No
>7m
$215,597 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$368,479結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 29 - May 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$368,479結束日期
2026-06-01市場開放時間
May 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Market-implied odds reflect overwhelming trader consensus that Nate Bargatze’s family comedy “The Breadwinner” would clear $7 million in its domestic opening weekend from May 29–31. Pre-release tracking from BoxOffice Theory and BoxOffice Pro consistently placed the Sony release in a $7–14 million range after initial higher estimates cooled amid a crowded summer slate and modest presales. The film’s Friday debut of roughly $2.75 million from 3,252 theaters locked in a $7.5 million weekend projection, aligning with the market’s decisive positioning. An upset below $7 million would require a sharp downward revision of actuals or an unusually front-loaded performance that failed to hold through Sunday, scenarios that tracking data and theater counts made highly improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions