Trader consensus prices a PGA Tour winner at 45.5% implied probability for the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, driven by the tour's overwhelming field depth among the 91 entrants, headlined by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler—pre-tournament favorite despite recent form dips—and defending champion Rory McIlroy, alongside Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Åberg. LIV Golf's 15.5% reflects its slim 10-player contingent—the fewest since inception—with punchers like Jon Rahm (past green jacket winner) and Bryson DeChambeau (strong recent major form) offset by Phil Mickelson's last-minute withdrawal for family health reasons. Amateurs hold 5.1% amid six debutants like Mason Howell, historically rare contenders; Round 1 tee times favor early PGA momentum on a firm, fast layout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於PGA Tour 45%
LIV 16%
Amateur 5.2%
PGA Tour
45%
LIV
16%
Amateur
5%
PGA Tour 45%
LIV 16%
Amateur 5.2%
PGA Tour
45%
LIV
16%
Amateur
5%
If the champion holds active membership on both tours, PGA Tour will take precedence. If the champion is not an active member of either tour as of that date, this market will resolve to "Amateur".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the champion holds active membership on both tours, PGA Tour will take precedence. If the champion is not an active member of either tour as of that date, this market will resolve to "Amateur".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a PGA Tour winner at 45.5% implied probability for the 2026 Masters at Augusta National, driven by the tour's overwhelming field depth among the 91 entrants, headlined by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler—pre-tournament favorite despite recent form dips—and defending champion Rory McIlroy, alongside Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Åberg. LIV Golf's 15.5% reflects its slim 10-player contingent—the fewest since inception—with punchers like Jon Rahm (past green jacket winner) and Bryson DeChambeau (strong recent major form) offset by Phil Mickelson's last-minute withdrawal for family health reasons. Amateurs hold 5.1% amid six debutants like Mason Howell, historically rare contenders; Round 1 tee times favor early PGA momentum on a firm, fast layout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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