Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest among $1.215M–$1.355M bins at 49% implied probabilities each for Miami's Parcl Labs median home value on April 30, underscoring uncertainty over spring momentum amid stabilizing fundamentals. February 2026 data showed Miami-Dade home sales rising 9.7% year-over-year to 733 single-family closings, with median sale prices up 5% to $685,000 per association reports, supporting Parcl index firmness around $1.25M despite elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Inventory edged higher to 18,215 active listings, balancing supply, while 104-day average market time signals buyer caution. Swing factors include imminent March sales releases and FOMC April 29–30 meeting rate guidance, with seasonal demand potentially tipping bins higher if rates ease.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於125萬 - 128.5萬 49%
1.285 - 1.32百萬 49%
132萬 - 135.5萬 49%
>1,355萬 49%
低於1.18百萬
48%
1.18 - 1.215百萬
48%
1.215 - 1.25百萬
49%
125萬 - 128.5萬
49%
1.285 - 1.32百萬
49%
132萬 - 135.5萬
49%
>1,355萬
49%
125萬 - 128.5萬 49%
1.285 - 1.32百萬 49%
132萬 - 135.5萬 49%
>1,355萬 49%
低於1.18百萬
48%
1.18 - 1.215百萬
48%
1.215 - 1.25百萬
49%
125萬 - 128.5萬
49%
1.285 - 1.32百萬
49%
132萬 - 135.5萬
49%
>1,355萬
49%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/23)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest among $1.215M–$1.355M bins at 49% implied probabilities each for Miami's Parcl Labs median home value on April 30, underscoring uncertainty over spring momentum amid stabilizing fundamentals. February 2026 data showed Miami-Dade home sales rising 9.7% year-over-year to 733 single-family closings, with median sale prices up 5% to $685,000 per association reports, supporting Parcl index firmness around $1.25M despite elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4%. Inventory edged higher to 18,215 active listings, balancing supply, while 104-day average market time signals buyer caution. Swing factors include imminent March sales releases and FOMC April 29–30 meeting rate guidance, with seasonal demand potentially tipping bins higher if rates ease.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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