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政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

Market icon
政治·DHS

國土安全部關機何時結束？

4月 30

7月 31

4月 30

7月 31

4月30日之後 77.1%

4月21日至24日 6.3%

4月25日至28日 5.6%

4月29日至30日 5.3%

Polymarket

$949,185 交易量

4月30日之後 77.1%

4月21日至24日 6.3%

4月25日至28日 5.6%

4月29日至30日 5.3%

Polymarket

$949,185 交易量

4月13日至16日

$68,610 交易量

<1%

4月17日至20日

$404,431 交易量

2%

4月21日至24日

$50,629 交易量

6%

4月25日至28日

$13,382 交易量

6%

4月29日至30日

$13,922 交易量

5%

4月30日之後

$158,850 交易量

77%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the DHS shutdown extending beyond April 30 (77.1%) due to persistent congressional deadlock over ICE and CBP reforms, with no funding bill advancing despite the House's return from recess on April 14. Recent House budget hearings on April 16 highlighted severe strains, including OMB Director Vought's warning of DHS "disintegrating" and slowed World Cup security planning, yet partisan divisions—Democrats demanding warrants and body cameras, Republicans seeking agent protections—have blocked continuing resolutions and appropriations votes. Near-term outcomes like April 17-20 (1.5%) reflect low expectations for imminent floor votes, while a potential GOP funding package this week offers slim odds for late-April resolution amid historical patterns of prolonged single-agency lapses.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$949,185
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the DHS shutdown extending beyond April 30 (77.1%) due to persistent congressional deadlock over ICE and CBP reforms, with no funding bill advancing despite the House's return from recess on April 14. Recent House budget hearings on April 16 highlighted severe strains, including OMB Director Vought's warning of DHS "disintegrating" and slowed World Cup security planning, yet partisan divisions—Democrats demanding warrants and body cameras, Republicans seeking agent protections—have blocked continuing resolutions and appropriations votes. Near-term outcomes like April 17-20 (1.5%) reflect low expectations for imminent floor votes, while a potential GOP funding package this week offers slim odds for late-April resolution amid historical patterns of prolonged single-agency lapses.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$949,185
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"國土安全部關機何時結束？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月30日之後" at 77%, followed by "4月21日至24日" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "國土安全部關機何時結束？" has generated $949.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "國土安全部關機何時結束？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" is "4月30日之後" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月21日至24日" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "國土安全部關機何時結束？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.