Democrats hold a 67% implied probability in this market, reflecting recent polling trends showing a reversal among Latino men from their 2024 Republican tilt. Multiple surveys from spring through summer 2026, including Equis and UnidosUS data, indicate Trump's approval among Hispanic men has fallen sharply into negative territory amid top concerns over cost of living, inflation, and the economy, with roughly one-quarter of 2024 Trump supporters expressing regret or openness to switching. This has translated into Democratic edges of 13–21 points on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters overall, including notable gains with men in competitive districts. Republicans at 45.5% capture residual support on issues like immigration enforcement, though trader positioning accounts for the narrow path to recovery before November 2026 voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主黨
67%
共和黨
43%
最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主黨
$1 交易量
67%
共和黨
$0 交易量
43%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Democrats hold a 67% implied probability in this market, reflecting recent polling trends showing a reversal among Latino men from their 2024 Republican tilt. Multiple surveys from spring through summer 2026, including Equis and UnidosUS data, indicate Trump's approval among Hispanic men has fallen sharply into negative territory amid top concerns over cost of living, inflation, and the economy, with roughly one-quarter of 2024 Trump supporters expressing regret or openness to switching. This has translated into Democratic edges of 13–21 points on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters overall, including notable gains with men in competitive districts. Republicans at 45.5% capture residual support on issues like immigration enforcement, though trader positioning accounts for the narrow path to recovery before November 2026 voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$1結束日期
2026-11-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Democrats hold a 67% implied probability in this market, reflecting recent polling trends showing a reversal among Latino men from their 2024 Republican tilt. Multiple surveys from spring through summer 2026, including Equis and UnidosUS data, indicate Trump's approval among Hispanic men has fallen sharply into negative territory amid top concerns over cost of living, inflation, and the economy, with roughly one-quarter of 2024 Trump supporters expressing regret or openness to switching. This has translated into Democratic edges of 13–21 points on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters overall, including notable gains with men in competitive districts. Republicans at 45.5% capture residual support on issues like immigration enforcement, though trader positioning accounts for the narrow path to recovery before November 2026 voting.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1結束日期
2026-11-06市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETDemocrats hold a 67% implied probability in this market, reflecting recent polling trends showing a reversal among Latino men from their 2024 Republican tilt. Multiple surveys from spring through summer 2026, including Equis and UnidosUS data, indicate Trump's approval among Hispanic men has fallen sharply into negative territory amid top concerns over cost of living, inflation, and the economy, with roughly one-quarter of 2024 Trump supporters expressing regret or openness to switching. This has translated into Democratic edges of 13–21 points on the generic congressional ballot among Latino voters overall, including notable gains with men in competitive districts. Republicans at 45.5% capture residual support on issues like immigration enforcement, though trader positioning accounts for the narrow path to recovery before November 2026 voting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions