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Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?

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政治·全球選舉

Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?

$48,730 交易量

Mar 15, 2026
Polymarket

$48,730 交易量

Polymarket

Rachida Dati

$7,943 交易量

100%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$7,717 交易量

100%

Sarah Knafo

$17,871 交易量

70%

Sophia Chikirou

$11,116 交易量

64%

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

$1,318 交易量

63%

Thierry Mariani

$1,412 交易量

1%

David Belliard

$1,353 交易量

1%

Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists.

A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market.

If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$48,730
結束日期
Mar 15, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Municipal elections are scheduled to be held in Paris on March 15, 2026, with a potential second round on March 22, 2026. Paris uses a two-round proportional list system with a majority bonus. Voters cast two ballots: one for a citywide list that determines the composition of the Council of Paris, and one for a list in their arrondissement that determines the arrondissement councils. The members of the Council of Paris subsequently elect the Mayor of Paris. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed candidate’s list advances from the first round to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market refers solely to the citywide Council of Paris list vote and not to votes cast for arrondissement lists. A candidate’s list will be considered to have advanced only if a list in the second round is headed by the listed candidate. If a first-round list withdraws and merges into another list and the listed candidate is not the lead candidate of the resulting second-round list, it will not be considered to have advanced for the purposes of this market. If no second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election is held, this market will resolve to “No”. If the lists for the second round of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rachida Dati" at 100%, followed by "Emmanuel Grégoire" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?" has generated $48.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?" is "Rachida Dati" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Emmanuel Grégoire" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.